SIPRI Yearbook 1995
15. Multilateral weapon-related export control measures

Ian Anthony, Anna De Geer, Richard Kokoski and Thomas Stock


The issue of export controls has occupied an important place in multilateral diplomacy for some time, but their evolution has recently been affected by the new international environment. Several questions central to the export control debate have taken on new implications: What is the role of technology in international security after the cold war? What sort of political alignments will emerge to replace the antagonistic bipolar security system? How can arms control address current international security issues?

In 1994 only 33 states participated actively in multilateral weapon-related export control regimes. Attention was focused on attracting new members and harmonizing the regimes, which no longer emphasize technology denial but seek to establish rules for trade and technology transfer.

Each regime examined has or had a different focus. The COCOM embargo sought to prevent exports that could contribute to the military potential of a list of target countries. The Zangger Committee and the Nuclear Suppliers Group (NSG) try to restrict exports that could contribute to the acquisition of nuclear weapons by non-nuclear weapon states. The Australia Group aims to limit the transfer of chemical weapon precursors, equipment used in the production of chemical and biological weapons, and biological warfare agents and organisms. The Missile Technology Control Regime (MTCR) seeks to limit the spread of delivery systems other than manned aircraft with a range of 300 km or greater that are capable of delivering nuclear, biological and chemical weapons.

Because of major incompatibilities in the specific interests of the major suppliers agreement has not been reached on multilateral efforts to address problems associated with conventional arms transfers. By contrast, the possible spread of nuclear, biological and chemical weapons causes alarm and there is a consensus among some 30-35 countries that they have a strong mutual self- interest in taking measures to prevent further proliferation. Accordingly, there has been a progressive harmonization in the membership of the multilateral regimes designed to address the potential proliferation of materials, equipment and technology related to nuclear, biological and chemical weapons and missile delivery systems.